Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.043763 0.047713 0.051725 0.056096 0.060718 0.065452 0.070662
2025-01-05 0.037657 0.043449 0.049553 0.056439 0.063965 0.071914 0.080918
2025-01-12 0.032275 0.039277 0.046915 0.055804 0.065803 0.076643 0.089222
2025-01-19 0.028820 0.036810 0.045801 0.056552 0.068945 0.082673 0.098921
2025-01-26 0.025276 0.033862 0.043818 0.056033 0.070437 0.086712 0.106315
2025-02-02 0.022722 0.031820 0.042663 0.056276 0.072653 0.091474 0.114483
2025-02-09 0.020970 0.030576 0.042308 0.057341 0.075740 0.097192 0.123751
2025-02-16 0.020069 0.030299 0.043060 0.059691 0.080338 0.104696 0.135161
2025-02-23 0.017364 0.027456 0.040396 0.057634 0.079424 0.105513 0.138555
2025-03-02 0.015557 0.025657 0.038935 0.056965 0.080118 0.108191 0.144125
2025-03-09 0.014057 0.024157 0.037754 0.056559 0.081061 0.111118 0.149965
2025-03-16 0.013567 0.024042 0.038396 0.058513 0.085001 0.117764 0.160400
2025-03-23 0.012719 0.023371 0.038275 0.059483 0.087743 0.123027 0.169298
2025-03-30 0.011875 0.022645 0.038029 0.060258 0.090227 0.127987 0.177874
2025-04-06 0.010735 0.021373 0.036939 0.059819 0.091075 0.130855 0.183841
2025-04-13 0.010087 0.020823 0.036845 0.060728 0.093700 0.136001 0.192711
2025-04-20 0.009119 0.019672 0.035803 0.060250 0.094420 0.138670 0.198436
2025-04-27 0.008437 0.018937 0.035332 0.060543 0.096160 0.142654 0.205850
2025-05-04 0.008019 0.018618 0.035464 0.061683 0.099052 0.148151 0.215233
2025-05-11 0.007944 0.018890 0.036511 0.064166 0.103822 0.156161 0.227922
2025-05-18 0.006846 0.017233 0.034453 0.062008 0.102073 0.155493 0.229320
2025-05-25 0.006154 0.016253 0.033413 0.061309 0.102324 0.157457 0.234132
2025-06-01 0.005575 0.015433 0.032583 0.060883 0.102931 0.159880 0.239544